Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.085916 0.096131 0.106716 0.118477 0.131150 0.144367 0.159166
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.066925 0.081603 0.097730 0.116634 0.138057 0.161453 0.188808
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.054877 0.072405 0.092699 0.117615 0.147060 0.180432 0.220790
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.045319 0.064436 0.087672 0.117407 0.153846 0.196458 0.249444
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.041005 0.062078 0.088739 0.124004 0.168459 0.221696 0.289279
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.037636 0.060342 0.090122 0.130670 0.183039 0.247022 0.329656
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.032707 0.055774 0.087201 0.131289 0.189642 0.262369 0.357891
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.027484 0.050077 0.082120 0.128475 0.191360 0.271295 0.378027
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.025423 0.048762 0.082891 0.133406 0.203182 0.293144 0.414683
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.023164 0.046838 0.082545 0.136612 0.212624 0.311981 0.447726
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.020855 0.044532 0.081387 0.138472 0.220128 0.328295 0.477682
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.018558 0.041947 0.079549 0.139135 0.225844 0.342216 0.504628
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.018304 0.043034 0.083685 0.149095 0.245373 0.375701 0.558841
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.015967 0.040103 0.081249 0.149121 0.250861 0.390467 0.588769
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.014297 0.038183 0.080281 0.151285 0.259440 0.409618 0.624929
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.012492 0.035717 0.078165 0.151475 0.265046 0.424700 0.655805
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.012117 0.036132 0.081004 0.159602 0.282583 0.456714 0.710184
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.011759 0.036525 0.083788 0.167689 0.300199 0.489088 0.765464
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.010447 0.034596 0.082210 0.168473 0.306641 0.505581 0.798910
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008783 0.031550 0.078297 0.165117 0.306546 0.512623 0.819245
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008356 0.031423 0.079860 0.171034 0.320905 0.540672 0.869235
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.007739 0.030714 0.080228 0.174875 0.332058 0.564201 0.913140
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.007018 0.029603 0.079703 0.177100 0.340660 0.584091 0.952114